Severe Threat & HOT!

There is a MODERATE risk for severe weather in extreme northern Indiana today. Areas north and west of Indianapolis have a SLIGHT risk out. The main threat for today will be damaging straight winds, but there is also a shot of having some isolated tornadoes embedded in most likely a line. Here is the SPC's outlook for today:

But, if you're not in the storms (most of you won't be), the story for today will be the hot and humid conditions out there. We're talking widespread upper 80's & low 90's with dew points in the mid to upper 60's! Guess what, it's not even JUNE yet!

Highs for today:
Indianapolis: 91
Fort Wayne: 91
Evansville: 93
South Bend: 90
Gary: 88
Lafayette: 91
Muncie: 92

Memorial Day Forecast

Good morning and happy memorial day! The forecast for today looks to be a HOT one with temperatures making it into the 90's - potentially breaking some record highs later this afternoon. It will also be a sunny one out there so you will need to apply sunscreen when needed. Our next precipitation chance I think will hold off until tomorrow, when some Severe T-Storms are in the forecast. A SLIGHT risk remains for northern Indiana tomorrow.

And the last thing I want to do is commensurate our soldiers who have risked their lives on this very Memorial day. This blog wouldn't be possible without them, so I just want to say thank you.

Highs for Today:
Indianapolis: 90
Fort Wayne: 90
Evansville: 93
Muncie: 90
Lafayette: 90
South Bend: 90
Gary: 89
Bloomington: 91

Heat & Humidity Returns! Plus, a Side of Storms.

Good late morning everybody! The threat for severe thunderstorms today will be confined to the northern half of the state today. There is already a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for some of our northwestern counties. But if you're not in any thunderstorms, you'll be experiencing some heat & humidity. In fact, areas south of Indianapolis could touch 90+ today!

Memorial day looks relatively good, but it will be steamy out there. Temperatures will be in the 90's across the state potentially setting some record highs!

As for the Indy 500, a lot of folks will need to be hydrated and to wear sunscreen. I'm forecasting a high of 88, will partly cloudy skies.

Stormy Saturday & Hot Sunday

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch continues for portions of central Indiana until 11:00 EDT. Clusters of thunderstorms continue to rattle Illinois right now which are moving eastward and will affect Indiana in the coming hours. Here is the  Severe Thunderstorm Storm Watch:  (below)

Warm weather will continue for tomorrow with most making into the 80's but some making it into the 90's. Full list of high temps below.


Here are the WARM highs for tomorrow:
Indianapolis: 88
Fort Wayne: 85
Evansville: 91
South Bend: 84
Gary: 80
Bloomington: 90
Muncie: 87
Lafayette: 87

A HOT Warm-up Ahead

Well, the forecast for today was wrong. I was expecting a decent day with temperatures making into the mid 60's, but we fell well short of that. In Indianapolis, we made it to only 61 which is well short of our average which should be in the 70's! In Fort Wayne, we made to only 57!

The Memorial Day weekend looks good but could be a bit on the hot side, with temperatures in Indy flirting with 90 on Sunday. The southern half of the state will likely make into the 90's on Sunday, Monday, and even Tuesday!

Highs for Saturday: (again, we'll depend on how much cloud cover we will get)
Indianapolis: 80
Fort Wayne: 78
Gary: 70
Evansville: 82
South Bend: 76
Muncie: 80

Moderate Risk for Southern/Central Indiana Wednesday

The new update from the Storm Prediction Center has all of southern/central Indiana under a MODERATE risk for severe weather on Wednesday, while the rest of the state has a SLIGHT risk for severe weather. The main threats in the moderate risk area are damaging winds, large hail, and the POSSIBILITY of strong tornadoes in the moderate risk area. Here is the SPC'S convective outlook & disscusion for Wednesday. (left & below)

SPC Discussion

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM MO/AR NORTHEAST INTO
   INDIANA...
   
        ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK ACROSS
   THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE CNTRL APPALACHIANS...
   
        ...A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY FROM
   MO/AR INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG
   TORNADOES...
   
     VERY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL EJECT NEWD INTO THE CNTRL/SRN
   PLAINS DURING THE LATE DAY1 EARLY DAY2 PERIOD WHERE DEEPENING IS
   EXPECTED.  BOTH THE NAM AND GFS INDICATE A SUBSTANTIAL SFC CYCLONE
   WILL EVOLVE OVER CNTRL KS COINCIDENT WITH DEEPENING UPPER LOW BY
   25/12Z.  THIS EVOLUTION WILL ENABLE A BROAD WARM SECTOR TO RETURN
   ACROSS THE MS VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY WHERE 70S SFC DEW
   POINTS CAN BE EXPECTED FOR MANY AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-70
   CORRIDOR/WARM FRONT.  THIS WARM FRONT WILL LIKELY SERVE AS AN
   INSTIGATOR FOR PRE-DAWN THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES OVER KS/MO AND WARM
   ADVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DRIVE EPISODIC SEVERE CLUSTERS
   DOWNSTREAM AHEAD OF THE EJECTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS THE E-W
   BOUNDARY RETREATS TOWARD LOWER MI.  OF PARTICULAR CONCERN WILL BE
   THE WARM BUOYANT AIRMASS THAT SHOULD DEVELOP ACROSS MO/AR INTO NRN
   LA AHEAD OF A PRONOUNCED DRYLINE.  STRONG HEATING/MIXING WILL ENABLE
   THIS BOUNDARY TO SURGE NEWD DURING THE DAY AND WILL AID DISCRETE
   SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT AS TEMPERATURES SOAR INTO THE 80S...THOUGH
   TSTMS MAY INITIATE ALONG THE BOUNDARY ACROSS MO AT SLIGHTLY LOWER
   CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS INITIAL
   SUPERCELL ACTIVITY STRONGLY SUPPORTS INTENSE UPDRAFTS/ROTATION THAT
   SHOULD LEAD TO TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT.  SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUCH THAT
   STRONG TORNADOES MAY BE NOTED ALONG THE MODERATE RISK CORRIDOR.  AS
   MID LEVEL SPEED MAX EJECTS ACROSS AR INTO SRN IL AND BOUNDARY LAYER
   DEEPENS ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS WILL BECOME FAVORABLE FOR
   SUPERCELLS TO INITIATE AHEAD OF THE SURGING DRYLINE.  NEEDLESS TO
   SAY A POTENTIALLY VOLATILE SITUATION COULD EVOLVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
   THE MID/LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEY.

Make sure you have a weather radio if any warnings are issued for your county. Please stay safe everyone!!!