Sunday, February 26, 2012

Weather Update: 2-26-2012

Really a nice and mild day across the area today. Temperature as of 3:00 is 58 degrees at Evansville, with lots of  sun. There as been a red flag warning out all day for the Paducah WFO counties because of the relative humidity levels being below 25% and strong southerly winds. Tonight we'll fall between 35-40. Tomorrow looks nice and less windy. Forecasting 57 tomorrow with a decent amount of sun.

On Tuesday clouds will be increasing as the potential for storms increases. High temps on Tuesday between 55-60. Rain will be likely Tuesday night into Wednesday. Severe weather MIGHT be a possibility early Wednesday morning. The wind energy is there, but the instability and moisture levels are marginal. Rainfall amounts between 1/2" and 1" - locally higher amounts with thunderstorms. The day on Wednesday looks very spring-like. High temps will soar into mid to upper 60's with gusty SW winds ahead of the cold front set to arrive Wednesday night.

Thursday looks to be a nice day. Under mainly sunny skies, temps will be cool down into the mid 50's. Friday looks interesting. A surface low will move up from the southern plains and be around St. Louis be Friday afternoon. Temperatures in the afternoon will raise into the low 60's. A few showers or thunderstorms will break out late Friday afternoon, but those showers/storms look not to be severe. Friday evening the window opens for the potential for severe storms as the low rapidly deepens across Michigan. The specific details are up for grabs, so we'll just have to wait and see as we get closer.

 The weather will quiet down next weekend. Skies on Saturday will become partly cloudy. It will be chilly for early March, with highs in the upper 40's to around 50. Morning lows on Sunday morning will be around freezing. Highs on Sunday will once again be chilly, between 45 and 50 degrees. A slight chance of rain exists Sunday, but nothing heavy.




Monday, February 20, 2012

Weather Update: 2-20-2012

After a cold start of 22 degrees, we have enjoyed a nice and sunny President's day with highs in the upper 40's to around 50 degrees. Tonight we fall to around 40 degrees at midnight, then make a slow rise toward the mid 40's by daybreak as south winds pick up. Light rain will accompany this mild start to the day. A trace to 1/10 of an inch of rain will fall between midnight and 6 AM. We should raise to around 54 degrees by afternoon with some sun developing later on.

During the day on Wednesday is when you will really notice the warmth. Under partly cloudy skies, temps will really soar, making it to around 61 in the metro with the potential for higher numbers over western Kentucky. Temps will peak on Thursday afternoon. After a mild start around 46 degrees, high temps will be around 65 degrees by afternoon. Strong southerly winds both Thursday and Wednesday will help the temperature get this warm. Increasing clouds on Thursday will hint at the chance of rain Thursday night. It looks like showers will break out late afternoon ahead of a potent cold front. It looks like a few storms could mix in in our southern counties. Doesn't look like severe weather will be a problem. All those issues should stay south of the tri-state.

Things will turn sharply cooler as we head into Friday. There could even be a few snow flurries as wrap around moisture moves our way. Under mostly cloudy skies, high temps will only make it to 45 with some breezy WNW winds. There is disagreement on the models for Saturday as far as for the temperature. The GFS is printing only a high of 42 on Saturday, while ECMWF has us near 50. The high temp will most likely be somewhere in between so I'm forecasting 46. Both models agree that the day will be sunny. Next Sunday looks decent, but windy with highs in the upper 50's with mostly cloudy skies.

TUE: Light rain early. Clearing late. Breezy. High: 54 Low: 40
WED: Partly cloudy. Windy. High: 61 Low: 39
THU: Increasing clouds. Showers during PM. Windy. High: 65 Low: 46
FRI: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Breezy. High: 45 Low: 37
SAT: Mostly sunny. High: 46 Low: 29
SUN: Partly cloudy. Windy. High: 57 Low: 34
MON: Mostly cloudy. Rain possible. Breezy. High: 52 Low: 43

Saturday, February 18, 2012

Weather Update: 2-18-2012

M. cloudy skies and seasonable temperatures today with highs in the mid to upper 40's. A winter storm will graze southern portions of the area where light snow will be possible. I think Muhlenburg and Ohio counties in Kentucky will be the only ones affected in the viewing area.

WINTER STORM DETAILS: A surface low currently located over south Mississippi will move northeast into South Carolina by tomorrow morning. An upper low now over central Texas will also move northeast with the storm. This upper low will supply the cold air necessary for snow. The window for snowfall in Muhlenburg & Ohio counties will roughly be between 6 AM and noon tomorrow. The latest data is suggesting a dusting to 1/2" of snow will be possible in this time frame. Lexington and Danville, KY could see a couple of inches (there are winter weather advisories out for them) by Sunday evening. Certainly the heavier snow with this storm will be in eastern Kentucky where 6"+ of snow will be likely by Monday morning!

Back home in the tri-state, things will be cloudy and cold. After a morning low around freezing, highs will rebound to around 41 degrees in the afternoon. Breezy winds at 10-15 MPH out of the northeast will make feels like temps in the 30's all day. Clearing skies in the evening will chill things down across the area Monday morning, with low temps down around 24 degrees. Monday looks nice will seasonable highs around 47 degrees. Clouds will increase ahead of a weak system Monday night. It looks like any precipitation that falls in the morning hours on Tuesday will be rather poultry, with amounts around a 1/10 of an inch. A few peeks of sun possible Tuesday afternoon especially southwest of Evansville. Highs on Tuesday will be around 54 with windy conditions.

Wednesday will be breezy and mild. Low temps will be centered around 39 degrees. Look for highs on Wednesday to be around 57, with SW winds sustained between 10 and 20 MPH. Partly cloudy skies will prevail most of the day. Another chance of rain will arrive during the afternoon Thursday, with heavier precip north of I-64. Highs on Thursday will once again be mild with high temps around 55. In general, skies on Friday will be partly cloudy after the light rain moves out in the pre-dawn hours. High temps will be around 46 degrees after a morning low of 35. Next Saturday looks dry. Highs around 43 degrees after a seasonable low of around 26 degrees.

SUN: Cloudy, breezy. Light snow south. High: 41 Low: 32
MON: Mostly sunny. High: 47 Low: 24
TUE: Mainly cloudy, showers early. Windy. High: 54 Low: 39
WED: Partly cloudy, windy. High: 57 Low: 39
THU: Rain late, breezy. High: 55 Low: 40
FRI: Light rain early, partly cloudy. High: 46 Low: 35
SAT: Partly cloudy. High: 43 Low: 26