Monday, February 20, 2012

Weather Update: 2-20-2012

After a cold start of 22 degrees, we have enjoyed a nice and sunny President's day with highs in the upper 40's to around 50 degrees. Tonight we fall to around 40 degrees at midnight, then make a slow rise toward the mid 40's by daybreak as south winds pick up. Light rain will accompany this mild start to the day. A trace to 1/10 of an inch of rain will fall between midnight and 6 AM. We should raise to around 54 degrees by afternoon with some sun developing later on.

During the day on Wednesday is when you will really notice the warmth. Under partly cloudy skies, temps will really soar, making it to around 61 in the metro with the potential for higher numbers over western Kentucky. Temps will peak on Thursday afternoon. After a mild start around 46 degrees, high temps will be around 65 degrees by afternoon. Strong southerly winds both Thursday and Wednesday will help the temperature get this warm. Increasing clouds on Thursday will hint at the chance of rain Thursday night. It looks like showers will break out late afternoon ahead of a potent cold front. It looks like a few storms could mix in in our southern counties. Doesn't look like severe weather will be a problem. All those issues should stay south of the tri-state.

Things will turn sharply cooler as we head into Friday. There could even be a few snow flurries as wrap around moisture moves our way. Under mostly cloudy skies, high temps will only make it to 45 with some breezy WNW winds. There is disagreement on the models for Saturday as far as for the temperature. The GFS is printing only a high of 42 on Saturday, while ECMWF has us near 50. The high temp will most likely be somewhere in between so I'm forecasting 46. Both models agree that the day will be sunny. Next Sunday looks decent, but windy with highs in the upper 50's with mostly cloudy skies.

TUE: Light rain early. Clearing late. Breezy. High: 54 Low: 40
WED: Partly cloudy. Windy. High: 61 Low: 39
THU: Increasing clouds. Showers during PM. Windy. High: 65 Low: 46
FRI: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Breezy. High: 45 Low: 37
SAT: Mostly sunny. High: 46 Low: 29
SUN: Partly cloudy. Windy. High: 57 Low: 34
MON: Mostly cloudy. Rain possible. Breezy. High: 52 Low: 43

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