Saturday, August 6, 2011

Slight Risk Sunday & Monday

A slight risk for severe weather for all of the tri-state tomorrow. Looks like a few severe thunderstorms will be possible tonight and into the early morning hours associated with a mid level shortwave and a boundary that is currently resided in eastern Missouri. Also, a few severe warnings possible with the pop up variety type of storms tomorrow afternoon and in the overnight hours associated with a frontal boundary.

Monday's severe threat looks to be a bit more widespread. A possible MCS could be possible as a boundary pushes through the area. The severe weather threat will be enhanced when another shortwave will push across Missouri and potentially affecting southwestern sections of the tri-state which is where the slight risk exists.

TROPICS: Tropical Depression Emily has reformed near the Bahamas. If you recall on the blog a few days ago I mentioned that I wouldn't be surprised if Emily would be downgraded to a remnant low and that's what happened. Emily is not expected to do much just re curve out to sea as a minimal tropical storm or just remaining a tropical depression. More details in the weather discussion.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, a few showers and storms developing, lows in the lower to mid 70's
Tomorrow: Showers ending in the morning, partly sunny, chance of storms developing in afternoon, highs in the lower 90's

High Temperatures across U.S. Yesterday



Low Temperatures across U.S. Yesterday


SPC'S Convective Outlook for Tomorrow (includes entire tri-state)


Watch/Warning map as of 10:00 PM:


Tropical Depression Emily Image


Track of Tropical Depression Emily


Model Forecasts


Model Intensity Forecast


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