Evansville Weather Update: May 29, 2014

It has been a rather cloudy day so far. Clouds have hung in, and our temperature at 1 PM this afternoon is at 79°. We have a few showers out there right now, and the coverage will slightly increase as the afternoon progresses. Looking at high temperatures today in the mid 80s, perhaps a few degrees cooler due to greater than expected cloud cover. Going into tonight, the chance will persist for showers and thunderstorms as the boundary will continue to push south. The GFS for tomorrow is a little more robust for the chance of showers/storms during the day than the NAM. Still, I think the chance of storms will still be around as the boundary remains in the area, especially in the morning. Highs for the day will be in the mid 80s. For Saturday, I expect the boundary will be enough southwest of here that the chance for rain will be low. Highs on Saturday in the mid to upper 80s, with less humid air and some brighter skies. For Sunday, the upper ridge will be place across the Ohio Valley, so going to go with mimimal (20%) chance of thunderstorm activity enough though the GFS has some scattered showers/storms across the area. After a cooler start in the lower 60s Sunday, the high temperature may touch 90°. Our average first 90 degree day is June 1, so we'll be right on track. Monday the chance for scattered showers and storms will once again appear, mainly during the PM hours. We'll continue with the above normal temperatures, with highs on Monday in the upper 80s, with a mix of sun and clouds. Not expecting organized severe weather with these storms over the next couple of days, but some small hail and torrential rain possible with the storms through Monday. The ridge will begin to get beat down as we head into midweek. Ripples of energy will move through the area pretty much on a daily basis, giving us a chance of thunderstorm activity throughout the upcoming week. Also, the hot weather will continue. Highs in the upper 80s near 90 possible along with muggy lows in the upper 60s all week as well. The severe weather potential that I mentioned on the last post looks to be pushed back until Thursday, when the 12z GFS has the cold front moving in. Monitor the weather for Thursday. Cooler conditions will follow that, with highs going back down hopefully into the lower 80s by next Friday. Long term range, the GFS is showing a rather potent low moving through the upper Midwest in the June 8-9 range. Our chance for severe could be amplfied during that time, if the 12z GFS solution happens to be correct.