Saturday, June 14, 2014

The Outlook: June 14. 2014

LOCAL WEATHER: Another beautiful October-like day across the area. Temperature at EVV at 1 PM was 76F, a ridiculously dry dewpoint of 44F, a NNE wind 9 MPH, and a rel humidity of only 32%. We do have a few high clouds across the area, so not the "severe" clear sky from yesterday. Still, very nice and bright. We will rise another few degrees before the day is out, with an afternoon high near 80F. Beginning tonight, we're going to see those winds shift to the east and eventually they will blow from the south going into tomorrow as a southerly flow develops. After a cool start, near 56F Sunday morning, the heat levels will rise going into the afternoon. High near 87F, with more sun early in the day - some late afternoon clouds. Humidity will rise as well, as dewpoint values rise into the upper 60s by late afternoon. It's unfourtunate, I know. Sunday night, with the tropical airmass fullly in place, the low temperature will be much warmer than the previous mornings near 70F. Going into Monday midday, a weak surface boundary approaching from the northwest now looks to spark some scattered storms/showers Monday. The chance for rain Monday looks higher than yesterday's forecast. Rising the chance for rain to 40%, up from the 20% chance yesterday. Forecasting a high of 89F Monday, with the humidity remaining in place. The boundary looks to fizzle out by Mon night/Tuesday, so precipiation chances look slim for Tuesday. The boundary won't give any relief to the heat, though. Forecasting a high of 91F Tuesday, our warmest so far this season as the upper high amplifies over the eastern half of the US. You guessed it, the humidity will remain and the sun will be out. It will be hot.

TROPICAL ATLANTIC: No tropical cyclone formation is expected over the next 48 hours.

THE EAST PAC: Cristina, now a shadow of its former self, has weakened all the way down to a 70 MPH tropical storm as of the 8 AM PDT advisory. It will continue to weaken, as it slides into the much cooler waters west of Baja California.

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