The Outlook: June 18, 2014

LOCAL WEATHER: It was once again a hot, humid day across the Lower Ohio Valley. The temperature reached 94F at EVV this afternoon, 93F at PAH. Besides the heat, we have had a few isolated storms pop up today. There was actually some strong thunderstorms in Southwest IN this afternoon; namely in parts of Gibson, Daviess, Pike, Knox, and Martin counties. These did produce heavy rainfall but they were not severe. The severe weather has been confined to areas east of the area; where severe t'storm watch #326 is in effect from the Southeastern part of Indiana up through Western Pennsylvania. Tonight, we could deal with some of the remants of some strong storms presently in Northern IL, but they are expected to be no more than showers by the time they reach northern stretches of our region. Low tonight near 74F. Another hot one for tomorrow. High temperature near 92F with a mix of sun and cumulus clouds. The chance for a thunderstorm during the afternoon remains, but they will still be isolated in nature. Friday the coverage of showers and thunderstorms look to increase. After another very warm start, near 75F, some convection could be in the area as soon as the morning hours as some of the models advertise. The coverage of the storms will grow as we head into the afternoon Friday as a weak boundary approaches from the northwest. Some of the storms could be strong; but an organized severe threat isn't expected. High temperatures on Friday a touch cooler, near 88F but it will remain humid. Friday night looks like a gradual drying trend. Lows a little cooler (still warm), near 70F. Saturday looks to remain warm and humid as the tropical airmass remains in place; highs near 90F with a mix of sun and clouds. There is a a a bit of model discrepancy for whether showers/storms will be in the area on Saturday. I'm going to cite with the drier NAM solution, but going to leave a 10% chance of a storm just in case. The upper ridge looks to break down and lose its place as a domiant weather factor in the coming days.

TROPICAL ATLANTIC: No tropical cyclone formation expected in the next 48 hours.

THE EAST PAC: The NHC has removed the invest area that they previously had south of the Pacific Mexican Coast. Shower and thunderstorm has become too disorganized for any tropical cyclone development in the near term.

CLIMATE EVV:
For yesterday - June 17, 2014:
High 92F Low 75F Avg 84F
Precipitation: 0.00"
Normals for June 17
High 86F Low 65F Avg 75F
Records for June 17
High 100F (1918, 1936) Low 50F (1961)

Since June 1 Precipitation: 2.56" (0.26" above normal)